Most Overvalued
General and impersonal investment research. Not personalised investment advice. Forecasts, valuations and model outputs are estimates and may be wrong. See Investment Disclaimer.
Largest implied downside to fair value. Ratings as of 2026-09-09 (today) for most names; a few held names carry earlier dates.
The forecast record, beside the forecasts. Across 480 pre-registered anchors the direction implied by our targets has been right 47.2% of the time, below a coin flip; proxy Brier score 0.264 against 0.25 for the coin flip (lower is better), reconstructed from the price target — published probabilities only began accruing on 2026-08-04. Samples are thin and windows short; nothing is settled in either direction. Full accuracy record →
Ranking 870 of 884 covered names with upside data; top 25 shown.
| # | Company | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arrowhead PharmaceuticalsARWR | SELL | -75.5% |
| 2 | Cava GroupCAVA | SELL | -73.9% |
| 3 | CytokineticsCYTK | SELL | -73.1% |
| 4 | AppFolioAPPF | SELL | -70.2% |
| 5 | Roku, Inc.ROKU | SELL | -68.7% |
| 6 | Hims & Hers HealthHIMS | SELL | -67.3% |
| 7 | DigitalOceanDOCN | SELL | -62.0% |
| 8 | NovantaNOVT | SELL | -61.8% |
| 9 | IntelINTC | SELL | -57.2% |
| 10 | Ormat TechnologiesORA | SELL | -56.3% |
| 11 | ValarisVAL | SELL | -53.1% |
| 12 | Marathon PetroleumMPC | SELL | -52.5% |
| 13 | BrightSpring Health ServicesBTSG | SELL | -50.6% |
| 14 | Phillips 66PSX | SELL | -48.6% |
| 15 | CoinbaseCOIN | SELL | -46.9% |
| 16 | AvantorAVTR | SELL | -46.1% |
| 17 | CF IndustriesCF | SELL | -45.9% |
| 18 | Penumbra, Inc.PEN | SELL | -45.5% |
| 19 | SiTimeSITM | SELL | -45.4% |
| 20 | Robinhood MarketsHOOD | SELL | -44.8% |
| 21 | Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock (SPCX)SPCX | SELL | -44.6% |
| 22 | IQVIAIQV | SELL | -41.7% |
| 23 | Ensign GroupENSG | SELL | -41.6% |
| 24 | Williams CompaniesWMB | SELL | -41.4% |
| 25 | Flagstar BankFLG | SELL | -41.1% |
Change tracking is unavailable for this metric — its source feed keeps no history. The four ROS-native rankings (margin of safety, expected return, quality, moat) carry day-over-day motion.
Other rankings: Top Upside · Largest Margin of Safety · Biggest Drawdown · Closest to 52-Week Low · Closest to 52-Week High · Lowest Forward P/E · Highest Forward P/E · Largest by Market Cap · Best Risk / Reward · Largest Margin of Safety (FV) · Highest Expected Return · Lowest Downside Probability · Highest Quality · Widest Moat · Biggest House-vs-Consensus