Today
What the book says now, and what moved since the last run. Each feed carries its own date. Equity research as of 2026-10-13 (today) Options chain as of 2026-10-12 · 1d old Regime as of 2026-10-13 (today)
Market state
Authoritative HALT · options stance: Defensive · hedge: 1.5× · as of 2026-10-13
Shadow · experimental Mid-cycle · Constructive / Stable · as of 2026-10-13
What changed
Estate: 2026-10-13 vs previous run 2026-10-12 · 921 names now, 921 then. What each estate count counts →
- 17 Rating changes — AAL HOLD→BUY · ALK HOLD→BUY · AMAT HOLD→BUY · BURL HOLD→BUY · CVS BUY→HOLD · ELV HOLD→SELL · +11 more
Show the other 11
LSCC SELL→HOLD · NKE BUY→HOLD · POST BUY→HOLD · RMBS SELL→HOLD · RRC HOLD→SELL · SRE BUY→HOLD · VFC BUY→HOLD · VIAV SELL→HOLD · VRT HOLD→BUY · VVV HOLD→BUY · WEC BUY→HOLD - 18 Expected-return moves (≥5 pp)
- 54 Conviction moves (≥5 pts)
Shadow · experimental The six dimensions read credit neutral, growth expanding, inflation disinflating, internals neutral, policy restrictive, volatility normal. Changed since the last snapshot: internals moved from deteriorating to neutral. Largest twenty-session moves: Initial jobless claims 197,000 (0th percentile), -13,000 over twenty sessions; ICE BofA CCC & lower OAS 12.52 (100th percentile), +1.82 over twenty sessions. Data quality: degraded (1 stale, 0 unresolved).
Where to look first
top 3 of each registered ranking — all rankings →| Ranking | #1 | #2 | #3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Highest MCH Estimated 12-Month Return | BROS +81.6% | XRAY +73.1% | BLDR +70.3% |
| Best Bull / Bear Scenario Ratio | BROS 11.9× | XRAY 9.3× | BLDR 8.7× |
| Highest Quality | VEEV 98/100 | SCHW 98/100 | QLYS 98/100 |
Options analytics
Of 5,068 option structures assessed across the covered chains, 4,412 (87%) carry a negative confidence-adjusted expected value once the cost of crossing the spread is charged. Contract-specific structures are not published. Options analytics and strategy education →
Catalysts — 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-20
| Date | Events |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | ACM Ex-dividend $0.31/sh · BAC Quarterly earnings · BIIB Leqembi subcutaneous maintenance formulation launch / uptake milestone · BLK Quarterly earnings · BLK Private-markets fundraising and GIP/HPS/Preqin integration milestone at Q3 earnings · CRM Agentforce enterprise-deployment cohort data / large-customer expansion proof points · CTAS Investor update on cross-sell penetration and tuck-in M&A pipeline · FAST Quarterly earnings +9 more · September CPI |
| 2026-10-15 | AA Quarterly earnings · ABBV Ex-dividend $1.73/sh · ABT Ex-dividend $0.63/sh · AEE Missouri (MoPSC) electric rate-case order / Illinois multi-year rate plan update · AFG Ex-dividend $0.97/sh · AIZ Major mobile-carrier device-protection contract renewal window · ALGN New-generation Invisalign/iTero product launch cycle · ALL Auto rate-adequacy / margin-recovery confirmation across key states +67 more |
| 2026-10-16 | AYI Ex-dividend $0.20/sh · CFG Quarterly earnings · CFG Investor day / medium-term ROTCE and NIM target update · CSX FY2027 volume, pricing and operating-ratio guidance framework · EOG Ex-dividend $1.02/sh · MTB Quarterly earnings · RF Quarterly earnings · SNX Ex-dividend $0.48/sh +4 more |
| 2026-10-19 | CCK Quarterly earnings · CLF Quarterly earnings · DOC Ex-dividend $0.10/sh · FITB Quarterly earnings · FNB Quarterly earnings · OC Ex-dividend $0.79/sh · RLI Quarterly earnings · STLD Quarterly earnings +5 more |
| 2026-10-20 | A Analyst/Investor Day — Ignite strategy and FY2027 margin bridge · ADC Quarterly earnings · ALK Quarterly earnings · ALLY Quarterly earnings · AMP Advisor-recruitment and net-flow trend update · CB Quarterly earnings · CBSH Quarterly earnings · CL Ex-dividend $0.53/sh +50 more |
Dated earnings exist for 821 of 916 actively covered names. A missing row means no date on file, not no event.
Risk & integrity
Exception register: 916 = 860 fresh + 4 caveat + 52 exceptions — every withheld name is named with its reason on /governance.
Focus Research Basket modelled volatility 9.2% (annualised) — basket risk and methodology →