Best Ideas
The top five of every registered ranking. Each list is a deterministic sort of one published field: no name is manually added or removed, and names not refreshed by the last run do not compete (14 held out on an older vintage). Research as of 2026-09-09 (today)
No composite “MCH Top 10” is published. A blend needs a preregistered rule, and none has been validated. Each list names the single field that produced it.
Value
the largest cushions between price and estimated valueTop Upside — Largest implied return to triangulated fair value. full table (870 qualify) →
Brighthouse Financial BHF
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 870 on Top Upside at +158.4%.
Conviction 63 (70th pctile)
PVH Corp. PVH
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #2 of 870 on Top Upside at +75.4%.
Conviction 46 (9th pctile)
Nexstar Media Group NXST
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #3 of 870 on Top Upside at +62.1%.
Conviction 53 (29th pctile)
TTM Technologies TTMI
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #4 of 870 on Top Upside at +50.4%.
Conviction 74 (98th pctile)
Snap Inc. (SNAP) SNAP
HOLD · Stance: Hold ▪Why it ranks here: #5 of 870 on Top Upside at +50.1%.
Conviction 66 (80th pctile) · next event 2026-10-27 (earnings)
Largest Margin of Safety (FV) — Biggest triangulated fair-value cushion over price. full table (870 qualify) →
Brighthouse Financial BHF
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety (FV) at +157.6%.
Conviction 63 (70th pctile)
PVH Corp. PVH
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #2 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety (FV) at +75.6%.
Conviction 46 (9th pctile)
Nexstar Media Group NXST
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #3 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety (FV) at +62.3%.
Conviction 53 (29th pctile)
Snap Inc. (SNAP) SNAP
HOLD · Stance: Hold ▪Why it ranks here: #4 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety (FV) at +50.1%.
Conviction 66 (80th pctile) · next event 2026-10-27 (earnings)
TTM Technologies TTMI
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #5 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety (FV) at +49.9%.
Conviction 74 (98th pctile)
Largest Margin of Safety — Biggest probability-weighted (PWEV) cushion above price. full table (870 qualify) →
Brighthouse Financial BHF
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety at +147.0%.
Conviction 63 (70th pctile)
TTM Technologies TTMI
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #2 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety at +84.0%.
Conviction 74 (98th pctile)
PVH Corp. PVH
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #3 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety at +84.0%.
Conviction 46 (9th pctile)
Capri Holdings CPRI
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #4 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety at +76.0%.
Conviction 49 (16th pctile)
Nexstar Media Group NXST
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #5 of 870 on Largest Margin of Safety at +67.0%.
Conviction 53 (29th pctile)
Risk-adjusted return
return prospects weighed against modelled downsideBest Risk / Reward — Highest bull-upside to bear-downside ratio. full table (858 qualify) →
Brighthouse Financial BHF
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 858 on Best Risk / Reward at 11.1×.
Conviction 63 (70th pctile)
Capri Holdings CPRI
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #2 of 858 on Best Risk / Reward at 9.4×.
Conviction 49 (16th pctile)
PVH Corp. PVH
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #3 of 858 on Best Risk / Reward at 7.9×.
Conviction 46 (9th pctile)
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts WH
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #4 of 858 on Best Risk / Reward at 6.5×.
Conviction 67 (84th pctile) · next event 2026-09-15 (dividend)
Dick's Sporting Goods DKS
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #5 of 858 on Best Risk / Reward at 6.1×.
Conviction 56 (42nd pctile) · next event 2026-09-11 (dividend)
Highest Expected Return — Largest probability-weighted 12-month return. full table (870 qualify) →
Brighthouse Financial BHF
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 870 on Highest Expected Return at +146.2%.
Conviction 63 (70th pctile)
PVH Corp. PVH
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #2 of 870 on Highest Expected Return at +84.0%.
Conviction 46 (9th pctile)
TTM Technologies TTMI
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #3 of 870 on Highest Expected Return at +83.2%.
Conviction 74 (98th pctile)
Capri Holdings CPRI
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #4 of 870 on Highest Expected Return at +76.3%.
Conviction 49 (16th pctile)
Nexstar Media Group NXST
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #5 of 870 on Highest Expected Return at +66.5%.
Conviction 53 (29th pctile)
Lowest Downside Probability — Smallest modelled probability of a negative return. full table (870 qualify) →
Brighthouse Financial BHF
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 870 on Lowest Downside Probability at 4.3%.
Conviction 63 (70th pctile)
Nexstar Media Group NXST
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #2 of 870 on Lowest Downside Probability at 16.4%.
Conviction 53 (29th pctile)
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts WH
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #3 of 870 on Lowest Downside Probability at 16.5%.
Conviction 67 (84th pctile) · next event 2026-09-15 (dividend)
TTM Technologies TTMI
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #4 of 870 on Lowest Downside Probability at 22.1%.
Conviction 74 (98th pctile)
Corebridge Financial CRBG
BUY · Stance: IncreaseWhy it ranks here: #5 of 870 on Lowest Downside Probability at 22.4%.
Conviction 74 (99th pctile) · next event 2026-09-16 (dividend)
Quality
business strength independent of priceHighest Quality — Best composite quality score (FCF, balance sheet, ROIC, moat). full table (870 qualify) →
Veeva Systems VEEV
SELL · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 870 on Highest Quality at 98/100.
Conviction 70 (91st pctile) · next event 2026-09-15 (authored)
Visa Inc. V
HOLD · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #2 of 870 on Highest Quality at 98/100.
Conviction 78 (99th pctile) · next event 2026-09-15 (authored)
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL
HOLD · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #3 of 870 on Highest Quality at 98/100.
Conviction 72 (96th pctile) · next event 2026-10-08 (authored)
Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW
SELL · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #4 of 870 on Highest Quality at 98/100.
Conviction 72 (96th pctile) · next event 2026-10-15 (earnings)
Rambus RMBS
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #5 of 870 on Highest Quality at 98/100.
Conviction 71 (94th pctile) · next event 2026-10-26 (earnings)
Widest Moat — Strongest competitive-moat score. full table (870 qualify) →
Visa Inc. V
HOLD · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 870 on Widest Moat at 100/100.
Conviction 78 (99th pctile) · next event 2026-09-15 (authored)
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL
HOLD · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #2 of 870 on Widest Moat at 100/100.
Conviction 72 (96th pctile) · next event 2026-10-08 (authored)
Rambus RMBS
BUY · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #3 of 870 on Widest Moat at 100/100.
Conviction 71 (94th pctile) · next event 2026-10-26 (earnings)
Prologis PLD
HOLD · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #4 of 870 on Widest Moat at 100/100.
Conviction 58 (49th pctile) · next event 2026-09-16 (authored)
Paychex PAYX
SELL · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #5 of 870 on Widest Moat at 100/100.
Conviction 67 (84th pctile) · next event 2026-09-29 (earnings)
Contrarian
the largest house-vs-street divergencesBiggest House-vs-Consensus — Largest gap between the house target and the street. full table (868 qualify) →
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals ARWR
SELL · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #1 of 868 on Biggest House-vs-Consensus at -80.3%.
Conviction 45 (7th pctile)
Cytokinetics CYTK
SELL · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #2 of 868 on Biggest House-vs-Consensus at -79.3%.
Conviction 49 (16th pctile)
Cava Group CAVA
SELL · Stance: Hold ▪Why it ranks here: #3 of 868 on Biggest House-vs-Consensus at -77.1%.
Conviction 45 (8th pctile)
Novanta NOVT
SELL · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #4 of 868 on Biggest House-vs-Consensus at -74.5%.
Conviction 54 (35th pctile) · next event 2026-11-02 (earnings)
Roku, Inc. ROKU
SELL · Stance: HoldWhy it ranks here: #5 of 868 on Biggest House-vs-Consensus at -68.6%.
Conviction 49 (14th pctile) · next event 2026-10-29 (earnings)