Artificial Intelligence & Compute
The AI compute and infrastructure complex — silicon, cloud and the platforms monetising it.
Cirrus Logic Inc (CRUS)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $134 (+21% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 71% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $267 (+19% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 75% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Meta Platforms (META)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $580 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 70% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $88 (+24% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Rambus Inc (RMBS)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $100 (+15% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 84% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $112 (+18% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 62% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Applied Materials Inc (AMAT)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $624 (+32% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 79% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Amkor Technology Inc (AMKR)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $62 (+23% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 56% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $84 (+15% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 78% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
KLA Corporation (KLAC)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $249 (+32% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 82% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Universal Display (OLED)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $81 (-1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 79% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $177 (+2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 73% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Allegro Microsystems Inc (ALGM)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $47 (+28% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Qnity Electronics, Inc (Q)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $153 (+24% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Godaddy Inc (GDDY)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $85 (-9% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 76% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $280 (+8% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 79% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Analog Devices Inc (ADI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $380 (+5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 81% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
First Solar Inc. (FSLR)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $226 (+6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 70% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lam Research Corp (LRCX)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $331 (+3% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 71% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Skyworks Solutions Inc (SWKS)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $68 (-10% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $199 (-12% vs spot). Revenue Growth explains 59% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Akamai Technologies Inc (AKAM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $114 (+8% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 74% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $280 (-3% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 62% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
VeriSign Inc (VRSN)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $256 (-9% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 90% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $269 (-2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 82% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Onto Innovation Inc (ONTO)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $278 (-1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 78% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
MKS Instruments Inc (MKSI)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $232 (-13% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 74% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Broadcom Inc (AVGO)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $360 (-2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 84% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $290 (-14% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 87% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $1202 (-1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 80% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Entegris Inc (ENTG)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $133 (-6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 60% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Teradyne Inc (TER)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $358 (-4% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 75% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Marvell Technology Group Ltd (MRVL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $211 (-6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 80% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $99 (-15% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 81% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Semtech Corporation (SMTC)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $126 (-23% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 68% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $387 (-24% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 76% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Silicon Laboratories Inc (SLAB)
At the current quote Silicon Laboratories Inc is trading rich to the engine's triangulated fair value (-31%). The business — Silicon Laboratories Inc., a factory-less semiconductor company, provides mixed-signal…
Sitime Corporation (SITM)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $409 (-32% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 83% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Intel Corporation (INTC)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $47 (-55% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
DigitalOcean Holdings Inc (DOCN)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $62 (-51% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 55% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Micron Technology (MU)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $309 (-67% vs spot). Revenue Growth explains 45% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
AAPL: a real growth inflection — but the stock has already paid for it
iPhone +22%, China +30%, Services at a record. Real inflection — but triangulated fair value (~$279) sits just below spot. HOLD.
ServiceNow: Institutional Investment Research
An evidence-governed research report on ServiceNow, evaluating the company's competitive positioning, AI integration strategy, and investment thesis.
The SaaSpocalypse & The HALO Trade
Two converging narratives are reshaping the investment landscape: the structural disruption of SaaS by AI agents, and the massive capital rotation toward Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence companies. Five investment scenarios for 2026–2031.