Restaurants
Dutch Bros Inc (BROS)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $68 (+78% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $195 (+21% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $260 (+11% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 81% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $210 (+6% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Brinker International Inc (EAT)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $199 (+2% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $101 (+11% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 62% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Wingstop Inc (WING)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $140 (+15% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 60% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $32 (+2% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 50% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Yum! Brands Inc (YUM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $146 (+1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 69% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock (DPZ)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $286 (-8% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 48% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA)
Rating suspended since 2026-09-29 — valuation method under review. The rating, price target and expected return are withheld until the name is re-valued; the research on the report page predates the review.