Broadline Retail
Macy’s Inc (M)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $32 (+41% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 53% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
eBay Inc (EBAY)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $106 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 75% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Amazon.com (AMZN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $246 (-6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 67% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Etsy, Inc. (ETSY)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $72 (-6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 48% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $68 (-20% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 49% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.