Financials

Property & Casualty Insurance

15 companies under coverage.

Coverage

Property & Casualty Insurance

Progressive Corp (PGR)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $215 (+0% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 56% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

PGREquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +20.0%

Equity Research

Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $186 (+10% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 59% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

CINFEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +19.5%

Equity Research

Old Republic International Corp (ORI)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $41 (+0% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 62% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

ORIEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +14.6%

Equity Research

The Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $212 (-5% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

THGEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +10.3%

Equity Research

First American Corporation (FAF)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $69 (-4% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 59% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

FAFEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +7.2%

Equity Research

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $100 (+10% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

SIGIEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +4.9%

Equity Research

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $97 (+2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

ACGLEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +2.0%

Equity Research

Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $137 (+1% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 49% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

HIGEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +1.5%

Equity Research

Chubb Ltd (CB)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $334 (-1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 59% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

CBEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · +0.9%

Equity Research

W. R. Berkley Corp (WRB)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $69 (-1% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 54% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

WRBEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · -3.1%

Equity Research

RLI Corp (RLI)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $61 (+0% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 49% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

RLIEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · -5.0%

Equity Research

The Allstate Corporation (ALL)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $233 (-8% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

ALLEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · -5.5%

Equity Research

Kinsale Capital Group Inc (KNSL)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $358 (-2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 72% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

KNSLEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · -6.0%

Equity Research

Fidelity National Financial Inc (FNF)

HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $52 (+16% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

FNFEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: HOLD · -6.7%

Equity Research

The Travelers Companies Inc (TRV)

SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $318 (-13% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 51% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.

TRVEquity ResearchMonte Carlo

9 September 2026Rating: SELL · -15.8%