Aerospace & Defense
Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $693 (+35% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 56% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Parsons Corp (PSN)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $55 (+22% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
StandardAero, Inc. (SARO)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $26 (+27% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 62% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
L3Harris Technologies Inc (LHX)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $283 (+19% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 60% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Textron Inc (TXT)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $81 (+9% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $168 (+17% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 48% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Honeywell Aerospace Inc (HONA)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $213 (+35% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 68% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $1273 (+15% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 73% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Moog Inc (MOG-A)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $390 (+7% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Hexcel Corporation (HXL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $104 (+22% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
General Dynamics Corporation (GD)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $337 (+2% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
GE Aerospace (GE)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $338 (+10% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
RTX Corporation (RTX)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $186 (+0% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $34 (+5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 48% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $481 (-6% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $251 (+11% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 74% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $488 (+2% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc (HII)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $269 (+2% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $181 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 55% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
AeroVironment Inc (AVAV)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $142 (+3% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $449 (+6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 68% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $34 (-19% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.